Monday, November 26, 2012

A tectonic-genetic-linguistic model for migration of Middle Eastern people (M172) into Europe, and proposed tests thereof

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A tectonic-genetic-linguistic model for migration of Middle Eastern people (M172) into Europe, and proposed tests thereof

Eric R. Force (ejforce@aol.com)

Followers of this blog and/or three papers by myself and my colleagues (1) are aware of apparent links between active tectonic boundaries and the propagation of cultural complexity in antiquity (along with related phenomena in the modern world).  The most basic observation is spatial, i.e. that ancient complex cultures plot along tectonic-plate boundaries like beads on a string.  Probably this distribution is a result of a forced pace of change due to tectonism along these boundaries; other possible forms of a solution and other ways of addressing the problem are discussed at length in some previous postings.

This posting proposes another dimension to the linkage-- that migrants from the Middle East carrying the genetic marker M172  were for some reason following the plate boundary they originated on.  There is a possibility (2) that this migration marks the initial introduction of agriculture into Europe via Neolithic (perhaps pre-IndoEuropean-speaking) farmers from the Middle East.  In this scenario, agriculture was introduced into Europe by relatively few agricultural migrants, and spread through the remainder of western and northern Europe without their help, as shown by the abundance of marker M173 there.  But this Neolithic age assignment of M172 in Europe is currently under debate (most easily seen on the internet), with some geneticists holding that it is of the Bronze Age.

Here too the basic observation is spatial— marker M172 derived from that region is present mostly in southern, especially southeastern Europe, and rare elsewhere in Europe (2, 3).  The distribution has been explained as the actual migrants following the agricultural climate they were already familiar with (2).  In detail, however, the spatial distribution suggests otherwise.  The abundance of M172 and related markers is strong along the northern shore of the Eastern Mediterranean as far west as Calabria, but falls sharply on the northern shore of the western Mediterranean past that point (3).  This distribution is that of the southern margin of the Eurasian plate, which from the Middle East winds its way via Greece, Albania, and eastern Italy to Calabria and Sicily before tracing the shore of North Africa westward.

If the migration is Neolithic, my suggestion has some linguistic support in the distribution of relict pre-Indo-European languages such as Lemnian, and from place names in Greece (2).  The plausibility of language spread (and perhaps genetic migration) along tectonic boundaries is supported by the vectors of spread of ancient languages elsewhere, e.g. Akkadian, Sanskrit, and Quechua (4). If the migration is of the Bronze Age or younger, the genetic evidence supports the propagation of cultural attributes following tectonic boundaries I have proposed in this blog and elsewhere (1). 

Tests of these hypotheses could compare locales in southern Europe that are more obviously tectonic than agricultural—Cyprus, some Aegean islands, Crete, and Sicily—in contrast with tectonically quiescent locales in northern and western Europe.  Similarly, it seems possible that populations along the northern shore of Africa west of Sicily, i.e. the continuation of the plate boundary, might continue the M172 trend. 

Notes
1. Force 2008, Force and McFadgen 2010, 2012
2. Wells 2002
3. Semino et al 2000
4. my assembly of relations in Ostler 2005


References

Force, E. R. (2008), Tectonic environments of ancient civilizations in the Eastern hemisphere, Geoarchaeology, 23, 644-653
Force, E. R., and B. G. McFadgen (2010), Tectonic environments of ancient civilizations: opportunities for archaeoseismological and anthropological studies, in Ancient Earthquakes, edited by M. Sintubin, I. S. Stewart, T. M. Niemi, and E. Altunel, pp. 21-28, Geological Society of America Special Paper 471.
-----, 2012, Influences of active tectonism on human development—a review and Neolithic example: American Geophyscial Union Monograph 198, p. 195-202.
Ostler, Nicholas, 2005, Empires of the word: a language history of the world:  Harper
Semino, Ornella and 16 others, 2000, The genetic legacy of Paleolithic Homo sapiens sapiens in extant Europeans: a Y chromosome perspective:  Science v. 290, p. 1155-1159
Wells, Spencer, 2002, The journey of man: a genetic odyssey: Princeton